Peace hopes

Mariam Khan

Article Type

Article

Description

The 2026 outlook for India-Pakistan relations remains tense and fragile, marked by episodic crises rather than full normalization. Experts note that nuclear deterrence prevents large-scale war but is less effective for lower-level escalation, where ambiguity, speed, and domestic political pressures increase risks. The post-Pahalgam period shows both nations learning from confrontations, yet primarily preparing for future conflicts rather than peace. US strategic alignment with India and transactional engagement with Pakistan further complicates crisis management. Key issues like the suspended Indus Waters Treaty and water security are likely flashpoints, while drones, cyberattacks, and precision strikes add uncertainty. Analysts predict competitive hostility and cautious signaling will define the bilateral relationship in the coming year.

Publication Source

The News International

Publication Date

1-4-2026

Pages

24

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